Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
BVO
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
AZA
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 2
RJC
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
RJC
3 - 1
SCH
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PSV
1 - 1
RJC
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RJC
0 - 0
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |