Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
JON
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
5 - 0
RJC
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |