Excelsior vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
RKC
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
RKC
3 - 2
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 0
RKC
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |