Excelsior vs RBC Roosendaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCD
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
HEL
4 - 1
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
4 - 0
HFC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
VOL
1 - 3
EXC
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RBC Roosendaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
RBC
3 - 0
HEL
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2000 |
HFC
1 - 2
RBC
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
RBC
3 - 0
VOL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GRO
4 - 1
RBC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
RBC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |