Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
16º
15º
75
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
VIT
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
EXC
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
EXC
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCD
78%
13%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
0 - 1
GLA
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 5
PSV
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |