Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
VIT
25%
23%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
ZWO
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TWE
0 - 5
PSV
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 1
PSV
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRO
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |