Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 5
ADO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
3 - 1
LIL
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
4 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 2
PSV
53%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AZA
0 - 4
PSV
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |