Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1987 |
ADO
5 - 2
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 2
HFC
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRO
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1987 |
HFC
0 - 3
PSV
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
PSV
3 - 0
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
AZA
0 - 0
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |