Excelsior vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 0
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
RJC
62%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
VIT
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 2
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
BOS
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
VOL
3 - 2
JON
42%
23%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
JON
1 - 1
BVO
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
FCD
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 2
JON
20%
21%
60%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
JON
0 - 2
GAE
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |