Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
EXC
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
HER
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 0
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |