Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 0
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 2
EXC
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
15%
21%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
RKC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |