Excelsior vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 5
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VVV
1 - 1
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 5
FEY
23%
23%
53%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |