Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
31%
26%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
BVO
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
HFC
0 - 1
BVO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 0
APE
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
FCO
1 - 0
HFC
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
0 - 1
HFC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 0
BVV
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |