Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 2
GAE
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
EXC
2 - 1
RJC
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 1
EXC
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 3
SPA
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
MVV
2 - 2
HFC
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
HFC
1 - 1
ADO
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
90%
8%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
HFC
0 - 4
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |