Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 3
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
4 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
ONS
1 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
66%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
GAE
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
GAE
0 - 2
FCD
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
HEL
2 - 2
GAE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
GAE
2 - 1
TEL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
GAE
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |