Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
FCD
2 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 0
BVO
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
VVV
6 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
16%
24%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GAE
1 - 0
VVV
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
TEL
2 - 4
GAE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
GAE
2 - 0
RBC
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
PSV
3 - 1
GAE
91%
7%
2%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
GAE
1 - 3
RKC
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |