Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2005 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
BVO
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 4
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2005 |
HEL
0 - 1
ZWO
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ZWO
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
APE
2 - 3
ZWO
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |