Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 4
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UTR
3 - 1
RJC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRA
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
UTR
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
UTR
0 - 3
MAL
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |