Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
BVO
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 1
ALM
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 4
FCD
50%
23%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 1
MVV
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
FCD
3 - 1
ALM
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCD
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |