Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
ALM
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 1
EXC
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCD
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 1
VOL
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 5
BOS
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
BVO
0 - 0
BOS
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 2
BOS
54%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |