Excelsior vs Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 6
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 1
HEL
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
EXC
19%
19%
61%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
GNK
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 0
MVV
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 1
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 0
BOS
40%
23%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
4 - 2
RKC
43%
23%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 2
ADO
21%
20%
59%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |