Excelsior Virton vs Waremme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
RES
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
5 - 0
EXC
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
LOU
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
COU
5 - 0
EXC
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 5
BAM
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -3 |
Matches
Waremme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
TUB
27%
24%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
RES
0 - 4
WAR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
7 - 0
WAR
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LIE
3 - 1
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 1
GOU
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |