Excelsior Virton vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
19
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEE
3 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEI
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
LOM
3 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
3 - 0
STL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
DEI
4 - 1
STL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
STL
2 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STL
1 - 4
RWD
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |