Excelsior Virton vs RFC Seraing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 0
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EXC
6 - 1
WSW
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
EXC
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
4 - 0
VWH
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OOS
1 - 2
EXC
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Seraing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
SPR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BEE
2 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
GEE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OUD
3 - 2
SER
29%
24%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
HEI
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |