Excelsior Virton vs Bertrix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
HEP
2 - 0
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
HUY
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
EXC
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
UNI
46%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bertrix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
OLS
0 - 0
BER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
BER
2 - 2
VER
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
0 - 0
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
WSB
2 - 1
BER
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
BXB
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |