Excelsior U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
EXC
54%
20%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 2
VIT
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
36%
22%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 6
SPA
4%
12%
83%
|
21 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DBS
2 - 3
EXC
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PEC
3 - 1
WIL
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 2
VOL
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
VIT
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 5
VOL
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 9
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |