Excelsior U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 4
EXC
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 3
EXC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
6 - 0
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
ROD
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 4
NEC
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
DOR
48%
21%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GAE
3 - 0
NEC
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |