Belgian Pro League Round 13

Excelsior Mouscron vs Charleroi analysis

Excelsior Mouscron Charleroi
77 ELO 69
11.7% Tilt 6.3%
19091º General ELO ranking 179º
375º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Excelsior Mouscron
18.6%
Draw
12.8%
Charleroi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
Excelsior Mouscron
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
Charleroi
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Excelsior Mouscron
Charleroi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Mouscron
Excelsior Mouscron
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2004
3 - 1
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
36%
26%
38%
78 72 6 0
31 Oct. 2004
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
1 - 3
Lierse SK
LIE
60%
22%
18%
78 74 4 0
23 Oct. 2004
KVC
KVC Westerlo
0 - 1
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
41%
25%
34%
78 73 5 0
16 Oct. 2004
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
1 - 1
KV Oostende
OOS
76%
16%
9%
78 64 14 0
03 Oct. 2004
SDL
Standard de Liège
2 - 0
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
53%
24%
23%
78 82 4 0

Matches

Charleroi
Charleroi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2004
LIE
Lierse SK
1 - 1
Charleroi
CHA
58%
23%
19%
68 75 7 0
30 Oct. 2004
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 0
KV Oostende
OOS
58%
22%
19%
67 64 3 +1
23 Oct. 2004
GEN
KAA Gent
3 - 1
Charleroi
CHA
60%
23%
18%
68 75 7 -1
17 Oct. 2004
CHA
Charleroi
2 - 1
KSK Beveren
KSK
44%
25%
31%
67 71 4 +1
02 Oct. 2004
STR
Sint-Truidense VV
2 - 2
Charleroi
CHA
52%
25%
23%
67 71 4 0