Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 4-2
Excelsior Mouscron vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
ANT
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
SDL
0 - 3
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 3
BRU
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
GRI
3 - 1
FYL
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 0
IBV
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
1 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
FRA
2 - 3
FYL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
FYL
2 - 0
KEF
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |