Excelsior Mouscron vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
AND
1 - 2
EXC
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 1
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
EXC
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 0
APO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
EEA
1 - 1
SDL
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
GNK
3 - 2
EEA
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
EEA
1 - 3
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
MOL
1 - 1
EEA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
EEA
2 - 0
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |