Excelsior Mouscron vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
KVM
2 - 2
EXC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
TUB
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
5 - 1
BRU
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ZUL
2 - 1
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 1
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SDL
3 - 2
DEN
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 3
LIE
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
DEN
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
DEN
1 - 1
LOK
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |