Excelsior Mouscron vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
2 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BRU
4 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 1
BER
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 0
WAL
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
DEN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
KVC
1 - 0
DEN
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |