Tweede Divisie - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 6-1
Excelsior Maassluis vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 0
USV
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
USV
1 - 1
EXC
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
ACV
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 3
BLA
48%
23%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 3
GEN
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
TIE
50%
22%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 0
GEN
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAM
2 - 1
GEN
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |