Excelsior .31 vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 2
HHC
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FLE
1 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 2
PKC
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GOA
1 - 3
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
ACV
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
VVO
0 - 1
FLE
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PKC
4 - 1
VVO
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
VVO
2 - 0
GOA
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ACV
0 - 0
VVO
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
VVO
1 - 0
STA
34%
25%
42%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |