Excelsior .31 vs SVZW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
NOO
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SVZW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SVZ
1 - 3
GVV
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KAT
3 - 1
SVZ
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 0
SVZ
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
SVZ
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SVZ
1 - 4
IJS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |