Excelsior .31 vs SteDoCo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ODI
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
DOV
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 3
EXC
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TER
1 - 3
EXC
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
5 - 0
VVO
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SteDoCo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VVS
3 - 2
STE
42%
23%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
STE
1 - 1
ONS
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
STE
4 - 1
ALM
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SPA
3 - 3
STE
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
STE
1 - 0
DVS
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |