Excelsior .31 vs Pelikaan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
8º
1º
15
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 3
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SDV
0 - 2
EXC
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
QUI
76%
15%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
AZS
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VVS
2 - 0
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEL
5 - 1
SDV
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
PEL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VVS
2 - 0
PEL
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 8
ROH
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DET
3 - 2
PEL
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |