Excelsior .31 vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
LIS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GOE
1 - 3
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VVO
2 - 1
EXC
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
5 - 0
STA
61%
20%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TER
0 - 1
HAR
21%
22%
58%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
DOV
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 2
VVS
73%
16%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
4 - 1
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |