Excelsior .31 vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
ACV
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
BER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ORA
0 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
GEL
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
FCE
1 - 1
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
GAE
1 - 1
RBC
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 1
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
HFC
1 - 1
GAE
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
VVV
2 - 1
GAE
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |