Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GOA
1 - 4
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
DET
4 - 0
EXC
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
HHC
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
DRA
0 - 0
EXC
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 2
URK
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ONS
5 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 1
GOA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HHC
1 - 2
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 1
DRA
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
ONS
2 - 6
GEN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |