Excelsior .31 vs ASV Dronten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
SDC
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BEQ
1 - 2
EXC
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ACV
2 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 2
ONS
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 2
URK
24%
23%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 2
DOS
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ONS
3 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
ASV
2 - 1
WHC
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
ASV
2 - 2
HHC
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |