Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
DFS
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 1
EXC
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 5
NSC
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HZV
1 - 2
EXC
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
AZS
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
APE
3 - 0
AZS
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HUI
3 - 4
APE
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
APE
1 - 3
SDC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EEM
4 - 3
APE
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
APE
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |