Excelsior .31 vs ACV Assen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 2
ODI
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 3
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
STA
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ACV
1 - 4
HOE
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TER
0 - 0
ACV
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
STE
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
4 - 0
ACV
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 2
GEM
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |