Excelsior .20 vs WRW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 2
EXC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
VUC
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HVV
1 - 1
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 1
EXC
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCB
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
WRW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
WRW
3 - 2
FCB
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VVH
2 - 0
WRW
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WRW
0 - 3
HVV
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SJC
4 - 2
WRW
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WRW
1 - 2
SJC
14%
19%
68%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |