Excelsior .20 vs Haaglandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
TNG
2 - 4
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARG
12%
21%
67%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
20%
24%
57%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
HIL
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Haaglandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
HAA
2 - 2
VVS
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
2 - 1
HAA
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HAA
0 - 4
VUC
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
VUC
1 - 1
HAA
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HIL
3 - 1
HAA
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |