EVV vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 0
EVV
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
DEM
1 - 1
EVV
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EVV
2 - 3
OOS
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EVV
0 - 0
UNA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EVV
1 - 0
ADO
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OSS
2 - 1
HOO
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 2
OSS
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
OSS
1 - 1
ADO
62%
20%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BLA
0 - 1
OSS
29%
23%
49%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
OSS
1 - 2
FCO
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |