Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
REI
1 - 2
ETG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 0
TRO
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
STL
2 - 2
ETG
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 3
LYO
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 2
ARL
68%
22%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |