Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MON
5 - 1
ETG
18%
26%
57%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ETG
1 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ETG
0 - 0
FRE
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SAE
0 - 1
ETG
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEP
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
PON
0 - 2
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
LEP
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 2
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
AGD
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |