Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
ETG
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
ETG
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
ETG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
REI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
PSG
12%
20%
69%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |