Evesham United vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
STO
0 - 0
EVE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 0
HED
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 4
EVE
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 1
MER
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
4 - 1
BED
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
TIV
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LEA
1 - 2
OXF
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 1
DID
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
OXF
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |